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What Is the “70% Rule” in House Flipping in the UK?

November 3, 2025
5 min read
What Is the “70% Rule” in House Flipping in the UK?
Is it achievable and how!

If you’re thinking about flipping properties in the UK — buying a house, renovating it, and then selling it for a profit — you'll almost certainly come across the so-called “70% rule” (also sometimes written as the “70 per cent rule”). In this blog I’ll explain what it is, how it works (with UK-relevant examples), why people use it, and importantly what its limitations are (especially in the UK market).

🧮 What the 70% Rule Means

At its most basic, the 70% rule is a guideline investors use to avoid over-paying for a property they intend to renovate and flip. The idea is to leave enough margin to cover renovation costs, holding costs, unexpected issues and still leave a profit.

Here’s how it works:

  • Estimate the After Repair Value (ARV) – i.e., what you reasonably believe the property will sell for after full renovation. Planet Property - Planet Property Blog+3Evolve Finance+3North Yield+3
  • Estimate the cost of the required refurbishment/repairs. Evolve Finance+1
  • Then apply the rule:Maximum Purchase Price=(ARV×0.70)−Repair CostsMaximum Purchase Price=(ARV×0.70)−Repair CostsNorth Yield+2Evolve Finance+2
  • If the property you’re considering costs less than (or around) that result, you might have a viable deal; if it costs more, your margin gets squeezed or you may lose money.

Example (UK-style):
Suppose you find a house you believe you can sell for £200,000 after renovation (ARV = £200k). You estimate the repairs/refurb cost £30,000.

  • ARV × 70% = £200k × 0.70 = £140,000
  • £140,000 − £30,000 = £110,000
    So the “rule” suggests you should pay no more than about £110,000 for that property, if you want a comfortable margin. Evolve Finance+1

✅ Why Investors Use the 70% Rule

  • Margin of safety: By limiting how much you pay relative to expected resale value, you build in a cushion for unexpected costs, delays, market changes. As Strategic Passive Investments explain: “The 30 % margin is designed to account for hidden costs and still leave room for a considerable profit.” Strategic Passive Investments
  • Quick vetting tool: It helps filter out bad deals. If even the numbers don’t stack under this rule, you may walk away rather than dig deeper. North Yield+1
  • Standardised approach: Especially for less-experienced flippers, having a rule of thumb gives structure: estimating ARV, estimating repair costs, applying a formula. Evolve Finance

⚠️ Limitations & Why It Doesn’t Guarantee Success

While the 70% rule is a useful guideline, it has several important limitations — especially in the UK property context.

1. Estimating ARV is not easy

Your estimate of what the property will sell for after renovation may be overly optimistic. You must base ARV on recent comparable sales of fully renovated properties in the same area. If you get that wrong, your margin vanishes. Strategic Passive Investments+1

2. Repair/renovation costs often exceed estimate

Unexpected structural issues, delays, higher labour/materials costs, regulatory or planning issues can all push repair costs up. If you plug in an estimate that proves too low — your actual cost eats into profit. New Silver+1

3. Doesn’t cover all costs

The 70% rule formula typically considers ARV and repair costs — but many other costs come into flipping: financing/interest, holding costs (utilities, insurance, taxes while you own the property), transactional and legal fees, marketing/agent fees when reselling. If you ignore these, the margin shrinks. Real Equity Acquisitions+1

4. Market context matters

Especially in high-value areas (London, South East) or where competition is fierce or market is rising/falling, the rule may need adjustment. Some investors say you might accept a higher “purchase price relative to ARV” in very hot markets when you’re confident. CapSource+1

5. UK-specific issues

In the UK you also have to factor in: stamp duty, VAT, building regulation/conservation restrictions, market liquidity in specific regions — all of which may impact the flip profitability. The rule is a guideline but must be adapted locally. Evolve Finance+1

🔍 Is the 70% Rule “Still Valid” in the UK?

Short answer: yes — as a starting point — but with caution. In the current UK market, many experienced flippers argue that deals meeting the strict 70% rule are harder to find. Some may have to accept higher purchase cost relative to ARV if they have strong local knowledge, fast turnaround, low holding cost, or are in a growth region.

For example, Planet Property Blog says of the UK:

“The 70% rule is a guideline … The UK property market is diverse … the rule should be considered a general rule of thumb rather than a strict formula.” Planet Property - Planet Property Blog

In other words: the principle holds, but real-life circumstances may force you to flex or refine it.

📝 Key Tips When Applying It in the UK

  • Do serious ARV research: Before any purchase, check recent SOLD values (not just listings) for comparable fully renovated properties in the same area.
  • Get accurate repair cost estimates: Perhaps involve a quantity surveyor or reliable contractor, include contingency (10-20 %) for surprises.
  • Include all costs: Build in financing costs, holding period costs, professional fees, legal fees, agent commissions, taxes.
  • Consider local market dynamics: If you’re in an area where properties appreciate rapidly, competition is fierce, or resale is harder, adjust your expectations.
  • Know your exit strategy: Shorter turnaround (faster flip) reduces holding costs and risk. Know how you will sell.
  • Be prepared to walk: If the numbers don’t stack under your threshold, best to pass.
  • Flex when you have extra advantages: If you have below-market deals, strong contractors, very fast turnaround, you might go to e.g. 75-80% of ARV minus costs — but that carries extra risk. New Silver+1

✅ Final Thoughts

The 70% rule offers a useful framework for flipping properties in the UK. It helps investors avoid over-paying and ensures a margin for costs and profit. But it is not a guarantee of success. Market conditions, accurate estimates, cost overruns and local idiosyncrasies all impact the eventual outcome.

So: Use the rule as a starting point, then dive into the detailed numbers and localities. If you do, you’ll be in a much better position to decide whether a particular property is worth flipping

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